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2024-12-14 11:29:26

According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.Guangdong: In the next five years, 10 billion yuan will be invested to support the development of the tourism industry. On December 12th, a site meeting was held to promote the implementation of the spirit of the provincial tourism development conference in Guangdong. The meeting proposed to promote the implementation of the "three hundred" plan for cultural tourism investment, that is, to promote 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects, to coordinate provincial financial investment of 10 billion yuan to support the development of tourism industry in the next five years, and to accelerate the implementation of the list of 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects.CCCC Real Estate: The loan of more than 15 billion yuan from the controlling shareholder will expire next year, and will be renewed for one year after negotiation. On December 12th, CCCC Real Estate (000736.SZ) announced that the principal balance of the loan of the company and its holding subsidiaries from the controlling shareholder CCCC Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "real estate group") is 15.091 billion yuan, and the annual interest rate is 7%. The above loan will be in 2020. According to CCCC Real Estate, according to the actual operation of the company, after consultation with the real estate group, the company plans to extend the above-mentioned loan of 15.091 billion yuan for one year from the maturity date, with the annual interest rate not exceeding 7%.


Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Zhejiang: By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan. The Office of the Leading Group for High-quality Development of Manufacturing Industry in Zhejiang Province recently issued the Implementation Plan for High-quality Development of Industrial Machine Tool Industry in Zhejiang Province (2025-2027). The "Implementation Plan" proposes that by 2025, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 120 billion yuan, making it the highland of the national high-end industrial machine tool industry. Positive results have been achieved in the construction of the national advanced manufacturing cluster of East Zhejiang industrial machine tools, with 30 new "little giant" enterprises specializing in manufacturing and 50 new products. Form a number of application scenarios with national promotion value. By 2027, the output value of the province's industrial machine tool industry will exceed 150 billion yuan, the supporting level of key core technologies and key functional components will be greatly improved, and the level of integrated application will be at the forefront of the country.ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.


The 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held. On December 12th, the 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held in Shenyang. More than 150 government and enterprise guests from more than 20 countries including South Korea, Germany and France and Hong Kong and Macao attended the conference, and conducted in-depth exchanges on topics such as ice and snow tourism, ice and snow sports and ice and snow equipment manufacturing. This promotion meeting is an important sub-activity of "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation and Negotiation Activities". It is understood that the "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Negotiation Activity" will last for three days, during which activities such as Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Theme Exhibition, Liaoning-Europe and America Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Exchange Conference and Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Industry Tour will be held, aiming at deepening the exchanges and cooperation between Liaoning Province and the world in the field of ice and snow economy, jointly exploring new opportunities for the development of global ice and snow industry and building a brand of winter economic and trade cooperation in Liaoning Province. (Liaoning Daily)Yu Donglai said that the goal of Pangdonglai is to be a model for enterprises. On December 13th, Yu Donglai issued a document on the nature and goal of Pangdonglai: the nature of Pangdonglai is to train employees to have a sound personality and the ability to live a happy life like a school! Pang Donglai's goal in enterprise is to be a model of enterprise, so that enterprises can learn, share and spread scientific ideas and methods, achieve more healthy development of enterprises, and make bosses and employees healthy and beautiful! Let the country and society be better, instead of doing business by yourself, I hope everyone understands!The Indonesian rupee fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since early August, falling by 0.4% in the day.

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